16 May 09 Update:
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Below is a summary of exit poll predictions for India Election Results 2009. However looking at the dismal record of opinion and exit polls in India, we need to look at these numbers more as entertainment than information. Can’t really blame the pollsters as conducting representative sample polls in a country of the size and diversity of India seems almost like an impossible task.
Surprisingly polls by all channels are getting similar figures. So either they 1) are all getting it right 2) are all getting it worng 3) The 3-4 polling agencies synced up their figures so that no one poll company gets all the blame if they again get it very wrong.
* India TV’s Maharashtra predictions are –
Maharashtra 48: Cong 12, NCP 13, BJP 12, Shiv Sena 11
| Party | CNN-IBN Dainik Bhaskar |
Star News Nielsen |
India TV cvoter |
| Cong | 153 | 157 | 152 |
| Cong Allies |
42 | 45 | 43 |
| BJP | 143 | 154 | 143 |
| BJP Allies |
32 | 44 | 46 |
| Left | 35 | 36 | 34 |
| BSP | 30 | 25 | 27 |
| SP | NA | 24 | 22 |
| TDP | NA | 10 | NA |
| AIDMK | NA | 9 | NA |
| Other | 108 | 39 | 76 |
| Total | 543 | 543 | 543 |
src – indian election
